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Analyst shares insights on Iowa caucuses

Canisius College website

The results from Monday's Iowa caucuses may not predict the candidates for the November presidential election. Canisius College political science professor Michael Haselswerdt believes more twists are ahead, especially for the Republican contenders.

While New York has not been a factor in deciding recent presidential candidates, 2016 could different.

"It's more likely on the Republican side of things than on the Democratic side," Haselswerdt speculated regarding the prospects of a key race developing in the New York Primary. 

"I think Clinton will do better when you get into more traditionally Democratic constituencies. For Republicans, it's going to be bouncy. I don't think Rubio will do all that well, nor Cruz, in New Hampshire."

Cruz struck first with a win in Iowa, followed by Donald Trump and Marco Rubio.

"I think it's going to be back and forth with those guys."

Trump may not have not lived up to his self-proclaimed "winner" status, but the Iowa results were enlightening.

"He (Trump) accomplished an awful lot. He did things in a very different way, something we haven't seen before. He didn't use a ground organization. He didn't spend a lot of time in diners and stuff," Haselswerdt said.

"That's a different approach to Iowa. He did very well with that approach."

The runner-up on the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders, finished a very close second behind Hillary Clinton.

"It's a little early to be talking about a revolution, but I think that, for him, he (Sanders) did well."

Still, Haselswerdt sees Sanders as a long shot candidate moving forward.

"I have a sense that the Clinton machine is going to be pretty tough once you get into the mainstream (primary states)."

Monday - Friday, 6 a.m. - 10 a.m.

Jay joined Buffalo Toronto Public Media in 2008 and has been local host for NPR's "Morning Edition" ever since. In June, 2022, he was named one of the co-hosts of WBFO's "Buffalo, What's Next."

A graduate of St. Mary's of the Lake School, St. Francis High School and Buffalo State College, Jay has worked most of his professional career in Buffalo. Outside of public media, he continues in longstanding roles as the public address announcer for the Buffalo Sabres of the National Hockey League and as play-by-play voice of Canisius College basketball.