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Pandemic models depend on adherence to guidelines

Buffalo.edu

While the death toll related to the COVID-19 pandemic continues to climb, government officials are using computer models to get a better understanding of how the coronavirus will likely expand. 

"A model is only as good as its assumptions and one of the assumptions is people are going to continue to be responsible," said Dr. Nancy Nielsen.

During her weekly appearance on WBFO, the Senior Associate Dean for Health Policy at UB's Jacobs School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences warned residents of the dangers which come with the coronavirus. 

"For example, if we were to stop social distancing, all the models are off. The models now are predicted on what we're doing for a period of time," Neilsen said.

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Jay joined Buffalo Toronto Public Media in 2008 and has been local host for NPR's "Morning Edition" ever since. In June, 2022, he was named one of the co-hosts of WBFO's "Buffalo, What's Next."

A graduate of St. Mary's of the Lake School, St. Francis High School and Buffalo State College, Jay has worked most of his professional career in Buffalo. Outside of public media, he continues in longstanding roles as the public address announcer for the Buffalo Sabres of the National Hockey League and as play-by-play voice of Canisius College basketball.