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UB Analyst Says Democrats Exceeded Expectations in Taking House and Senate

By Mark Scott

Buffalo, NY – Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives and the Senate in January. A University at Buffalo political scientist says Democrats exceeded expectations in this week's elections.

Heading into Tuesday, the Democratic party was expected to pick up between 15 and 20 seats. They ended up picking up a dozen more than that. So, was this a Democratic wave, much like the one that swept the Republicans into power in 1994? Joshua Dyck, an assistant professor of political science at UB, says use of the term wave may be premature right now. But he does say Democrats will cast a shadow on the remainder of President Bush's second term.

Whether it was a wave or not, Congressman Tom Reynolds was able to sidestep it. The embattled four-term incumbent was able to win his close race against Democrat Jack Davis. Dyck said Reynolds owes his re-election to one thing -- the October surprise snowstorm.

Dyck says the snowstorm and Reynolds' hefty campaign warchest were enough to turn the tide when it appeared that he would be engulfed by the Mark Foley scandal.

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